Methodology evidence
The confidence system and verification workflow that every other evidence page relies on.
TL;DR: Every figure carries one of four confidence tiers — HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW or UNKNOWN. A fact moves through collect → label → cross-check → publish-or-withhold, so unsourced figures are withheld rather than invented.
Confidence system
| Level | How it is assigned | Example |
|---|---|---|
| High | Confirmed against a primary source. | A VAT rate published by a national tax authority. |
| Medium | Corroborated by multiple secondary sources, or a primary source that is a snapshot rather than a live figure. | A freight-rate range assembled from several carrier references. |
| Low | An unverified estimate with no published primary source. | A terminal free-time allowance that varies and is not publicly posted. |
| Unknown | Insufficient evidence to classify; no confidence judgement is made. | A fact not yet checked against any documented source. |
4-step workflow
- Collect. Pull the fact from the highest-quality available source and record that source.
- Label. Assign HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW or UNKNOWN based on how the fact was sourced.
- Cross-check. Upgrade when an independent primary source corroborates; otherwise keep the estimate label.
- Publish or withhold. Publish only when sourced or clearly labelled. If neither is possible, withhold the figure.
The full definitions, source hierarchy and rate-specific caveats live on the methodology page.
Mandatory fields: rate records
Every figure admitted to the WorldFreightHub Freight Index (WHFI) must record the fields below. A record that cannot fill a mandatory field is withheld, or published with the gap explicitly flagged as a LOW-confidence caveat — never silently averaged into a range.
| Field | Requirement | What it records |
|---|---|---|
| Collection date | Mandatory | The date the figure was collected, or the as-of date printed by the source. Undated sources are recorded with an access date and flagged. |
| Origin | Mandatory | The load port (e.g. Shanghai, Ningbo-Zhoushan, Shenzhen). Route-lane figures must name the actual origin, not just the country. |
| Destination | Mandatory | The discharge port or gateway (e.g. Jeddah, Jebel Ali, Hamad). A country-level figure must say so and cannot be presented as port-specific. |
| Container type | Mandatory | 20ft FCL, 40ft FCL/40HQ, LCL per CBM, or air per kg. Records without a stated container type are excluded from FCL tables. |
| Incoterm / charge basis | Mandatory | The trade term under which the figure is quoted where the source states one (e.g. FOB, CIF). |
| Currency | Mandatory | Always USD in the WHFI index; source figures in other currencies are converted at a recorded date-rate and the conversion is noted. |
| Port-to-port vs door-to-door | Mandatory | Whether the figure covers ocean freight only (port-to-port) or includes collection/delivery (door-to-door). Mixing the two bases in one range is forbidden. |
| Included charges | Mandatory | What the figure includes (e.g. base ocean freight, export declaration) exactly as the source states. |
| Excluded charges | Mandatory | What the figure excludes (THC, BAF/war-risk surcharges, destination CFS, clearance, last mile). Excluded items must be listed so the figure cannot be read as all-in. |
Mandatory fields: transit-time records
Transit-time (时效) figures follow the same rule: the door range, routing, season and exact route must be recorded with the number, because a transit time is meaningless without them.
| Field | Requirement | What it records |
|---|---|---|
| Door range | Mandatory | Whether the time covers port-to-port, terminal-to-terminal or door-to-door. Door-to-door figures cannot be compared with port-to-port ones. |
| Direct vs transshipment | Mandatory | Whether the transit is a direct sailing or includes transshipment, and where. Red Sea vs Cape-of-Good-Hope routing is recorded as a routing variant, not a separate service. |
| Season | Mandatory | The seasonal window the transit figure applies to (e.g. pre-peak, peak season), since head-haul transit lengthens in peak windows. |
| Route | Mandatory | The exact origin-destination pair with routing note (Suez/Red Sea, Cape, or rail corridor). |
Methodology evidence records
| Claim | Source | Source type | Confidence | Last reviewed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confidence system uses HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW and UNKNOWN. | WorldFreightHub methodology | Primary | High | Policy as published |
| Workflow is collect, label, cross-check, then publish or withhold. | WorldFreightHub methodology | Primary | High | Policy as published |
| No figure is fabricated to fill a source gap. | WorldFreightHub methodology | Primary | High | Policy as published |
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