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Below ~15 CBM → LCL; above → FCL (20ft ≈ 28 CBM, 40ft ≈ 58 CBM).

Used for air chargeable weight (max of actual vs volume × 167).

Recommendation

Enter a shipment to get a recommendation.


FCL vs LCL —
Sea transit —
Air transit —
Rail transit —
Sea vs air break-even —
Landed-cost multiplier —

Rates are published reference ranges (MEDIUM/LOW confidence), not quotes. Confirm with a licensed forwarder before booking.

The three decisions, explained

1 · FCL vs LCL (~15 CBM)

Below ~15 CBM you pay per cubic metre sharing a box; above it a full 20ft (~28 CBM) or 40ft (~58 CBM) is cheaper per CBM. The engine recomputes the crossover against your destination's LCL rate and 20ft price.

2 · Sea vs air

Air is ~8–15× sea per kg but 4–7 days vs 16–45 by sea. The engine picks by your deadline, then prices the time saved.

3 · Landed cost (multiplicative)

Duty then VAT stack as (1 + duty) × (1 + VAT), not added: Saudi 5% + 15% = ×1.2075, UAE ×1.1025, Qatar ×1.05. The engine shows the multiplier so the CIF price becomes a landed price.

The time-value break-even

Air wins when the days it saves are worth more than its premium. The engine prices your daily capital cost as goods value × 10% ÷ 365 and multiplies it by the days air saves over sea. If that time-value beats the air premium, fly it; if not, ship it.

Worked example: $50,000 of goods = $13.70/day of capital (at 10% annual). Air saves ~15 days over a 20-day sea leg = $205 of time-value. If the air premium is below ~$205, air pays for itself; above it, sea does. This is the arithmetic that decides most urgent shipments, and it is almost never shown on a quote.

Common errors

  • Choosing by price alone and ignoring transit time and schedule reliability
  • Ignoring the Red Sea vs Strait of Hormuz risk split when comparing Jeddah against Gulf ports
  • Comparing methods without landed cost — a cheaper FCL rate can lose to a dearer DDP once duty, VAT and clearance are added

Related

Frequently asked questions

What does this decision engine actually decide?

It answers the three decisions that drive freight cost and speed: (1) FCL or LCL — a full container or shared space, split at ~15 CBM; (2) sea, air or rail — set by your deadline against each mode’s transit time; and (3) the landed-cost multiplier — duty and VAT stacked multiplicatively on the CIF value. Enter destination, volume, weight, goods value and the max days you can wait, and it returns a recommendation with the numbers behind it.

Why is 15 CBM the FCL/LCL crossover?

Below ~15 CBM you share a container and pay per cubic metre; above it, a 20ft’s ~28 CBM of usable space starts to cost less per CBM than LCL. At 15 CBM the LCL bill (15 × the per-CBM rate) meets the fixed 20ft price, so it is the point where booking a whole box stops being wasteful. The exact crossover moves with the LCL rate and the 20ft price, so the engine recomputes it against your destination’s brackets rather than quoting a frozen number.

How does it weigh sea against air?

It prices the time saved. Air is ~8–15× sea per kg, so it only wins when the days it saves are worth more than the premium. The engine estimates your daily capital cost (goods value × 10% ÷ 365) and multiplies it by the days air saves over sea: if that time-value exceeds the air premium, air pays for itself; if not, sea does. This is the calculation forwarders rarely show, and it is the whole reason a $50,000 urgent shipment flies while a $5,000 bulk one ships.

Why is landed cost multiplicative, not additive?

Duty and VAT stack: a 5% duty then 15% VAT is not 20%, it is 1.05 × 1.15 = ×1.2075 (20.75%). The engine multiplies (1 + duty) × (1 + VAT) per destination — Saudi ×1.2075 vs UAE ×1.1025 vs Qatar ×1.05 — so the same $10,000 CIF lands at $12,075 in Saudi and $10,500 in Qatar, a $1,575 gap most quotes hide.

Are these results quotes?

No. Rates and transit times are published reference ranges (MEDIUM/LOW confidence), not live quotes. Use the recommendation to choose a mode and direction, then confirm the actual figure with a licensed forwarder before booking.

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